Ligue 1 · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Toulouse
Home
0-2
Full time
Stadium de Toulouse
Lyon
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
62%
1.52
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Toulouse wins
0
Draws
0
Lyon wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
46%
44%
Attack
46%
55%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Toulouse
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Lyon
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Toulouse | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 100% 3/3 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Toulouse
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
0%
Behind
33%
Lyon
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
33%
Behind
11%
Match Preview & Analysis
Toulouse face Lyon in Ligue 1. Toulouse have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.33 points per game). Lyon have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Toulouse, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Lyon. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stadium de Toulouse as part of the Ligue 1.
