Primeira Liga · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Sporting CP
Home
3-1
Full time
Estádio José Alvalade
Alverca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.02
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
4%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
92%
1.02
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting CP wins
0
Draws
0
Alverca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
66%
95%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Sporting CP
last 5 at home
5W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Alverca
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Sporting CP | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Sporting CP
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Alverca
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 11 |
Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting CP face Alverca in Primeira Liga. Sporting CP have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Alverca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 92% probability backing Sporting CP, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sporting CP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Sporting CP, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Alverca. Our top recommended betting pick is Sporting CP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade as part of the Primeira Liga.
