Primera B Metropolitana · Friday, 21 Aug 2026
Brown DE Adrogue
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
UAI Urquiza
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
29%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Brown DE Adrogue wins
0
Draws
0
UAI Urquiza wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
20%
Attack
13%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Brown DE Adrogue
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
0.80
scored a game
0.20
conceded a game
UAI Urquiza
last 4 away from home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Brown DE Adrogue | UAI Urquiza | |
|---|---|---|
| 22% 2/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 0% 0/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 0% 0/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 11% 1/9 | Both teams scored | 2/9 22% |
| 56% 5/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 56% 5/9 | Failed to score | 7/9 78% |
At half time
Brown DE Adrogue
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
56%
Behind
33%
UAI Urquiza
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 |
Brown DE Adrogue |
40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | -12 | 43 |
| 21 |
UAI Urquiza |
40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | -13 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Brown DE Adrogue face UAI Urquiza in Primera B Metropolitana. Brown DE Adrogue have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game). UAI Urquiza have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 54% probability backing Brown DE Adrogue, home advantage and superior chance creation make Brown DE Adrogue to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Brown DE Adrogue, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for UAI Urquiza. Our top recommended betting pick is Brown DE Adrogue Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 21 Aug 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
