Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Ituzaingó
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio Carlos Sacaan
Deportivo Merlo
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
30%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ituzaingó wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
20%
6%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Ituzaingó
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Deportivo Merlo
last 6 away from home
0W
4D
2L
0.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ituzaingó | Deportivo Merlo | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 56% 5/9 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Ituzaingó
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
Deportivo Merlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
| 22 |
Ituzaingó |
41 | 1 | 14 | 26 | -39 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ituzaingó face Deportivo Merlo in Primera B Metropolitana. Ituzaingó have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 4 (0.6 points per game). Deportivo Merlo have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
Deportivo Merlo's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Deportivo Merlo to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Ituzaingó, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Deportivo Merlo. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Merlo Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Sacaan as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
