Serie C · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Santa Cruz
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Caxias
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
31%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Santa Cruz wins
0
Draws
0
Caxias wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Santa Cruz
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Caxias
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Santa Cruz | Caxias | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Santa Cruz
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
17%
Behind
50%
Caxias
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Santa Cruz face Caxias in Serie C. Santa Cruz have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Caxias have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
With a 48% probability backing Santa Cruz, home advantage and superior chance creation make Santa Cruz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Santa Cruz, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Caxias. Our top recommended betting pick is Santa Cruz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie C.
