USL Championship · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Indy Eleven
Home
2-1
Full time
Michael A. Carroll Stadium
Louisville City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Indy Eleven wins
0
Draws
0
Louisville City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Indy Eleven
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Louisville City
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Indy Eleven | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Indy Eleven
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Louisville City
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
56%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Louisville City |
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
| 9 |
Indy Eleven |
29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -5 | 34 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Indy Eleven face Louisville City in USL Championship. Indy Eleven have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Louisville City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 45% probability backing Indy Eleven, home advantage and superior chance creation make Indy Eleven to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Indy Eleven, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Louisville City. Our top recommended betting pick is Indy Eleven Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
