USL Championship · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Lexington
Home
2-0
Full time
Toyota Stadium
Las Vegas Lights
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lexington wins
0
Draws
0
Las Vegas Lights wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
73%
40%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Lexington
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Las Vegas Lights
last 4 away from home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Lexington | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Lexington
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
75%
Behind
13%
Las Vegas Lights
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Lexington |
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +18 | 47 |
| 11 |
Las Vegas Lights |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lexington face Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship. Lexington have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Las Vegas Lights have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 56% probability backing Lexington, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lexington to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Lexington, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Las Vegas Lights. Our top recommended betting pick is Lexington Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
