USL Championship · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Loudoun United
Home
0-0
Full time
Segra Field
New Mexico United
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Loudoun United wins
0
Draws
0
New Mexico United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
95%
26%
Attack
86%
86%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
58%
Home and away record
Loudoun United
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
New Mexico United
last 4 away from home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Loudoun United | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Loudoun United
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
New Mexico United
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
63%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
New Mexico United |
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 10 |
Loudoun United |
29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | -11 | 28 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Loudoun United face New Mexico United in USL Championship. Loudoun United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.6 points per game). New Mexico United have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 3 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
New Mexico United's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for New Mexico United to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Loudoun United, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for New Mexico United. Our top recommended betting pick is New Mexico United Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Segra Field as part of the USL Championship.
