USL League One · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Union Omaha
Home
1-1
Full time
Werner Park
Sarasota Paradise
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.22
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.55 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
77%
Draw
15%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
77%
1.22
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Union Omaha wins
0
Draws
0
Sarasota Paradise wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
93%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
77%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Union Omaha
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Sarasota Paradise
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Union Omaha | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Union Omaha
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
38%
Behind
25%
Sarasota Paradise
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Union Omaha |
30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 11 |
Sarasota Paradise |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Union Omaha face Sarasota Paradise in USL League One. Union Omaha have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Sarasota Paradise have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 77% probability backing Union Omaha, home advantage and superior chance creation make Union Omaha to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 77% win probability for Union Omaha, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Sarasota Paradise. Our top recommended betting pick is Union Omaha Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Werner Park as part of the USL League One.
