USL Championship · Saturday, 22 Aug 2026
Rhode Island
Home
3-1
Full time
Centreville Bank Stadium
Monterey Bay
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.22
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.55 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
77%
Draw
14%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
77%
1.22
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rhode Island wins
0
Draws
0
Monterey Bay wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
6%
26%
Attack
40%
80%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
77%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Rhode Island
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Monterey Bay
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Rhode Island | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 0% 0/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Rhode Island
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
75%
Behind
13%
Monterey Bay
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Rhode Island |
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +10 | 42 |
| 12 |
Monterey Bay |
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Rhode Island face Monterey Bay in USL Championship. Rhode Island have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game). Monterey Bay have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 77% probability backing Rhode Island, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rhode Island to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 77% win probability for Rhode Island, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Monterey Bay. Our top recommended betting pick is Rhode Island Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 22 Aug 2026 at 23:30 (East Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
