Major League Soccer · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Austin
Home
1-1
Full time
Q2 Stadium
Philadelphia Union
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
27%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Austin wins
0
Draws
0
Philadelphia Union wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Austin
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
2.60
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Philadelphia Union
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Austin | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Austin
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Philadelphia Union
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +14 | 50 |
| 14 |
Austin |
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -23 | 34 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Austin face Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer. Austin have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Philadelphia Union have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Philadelphia Union's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Philadelphia Union to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Austin, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Philadelphia Union. Our top recommended betting pick is Philadelphia Union Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium as part of the Major League Soccer.
