Liga MX · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Puebla
Home
3-2
Full time
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
Santos Laguna
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Puebla wins
0
Draws
0
Santos Laguna wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
20%
6%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Puebla
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Santos Laguna
last 7 away from home
3W
0D
4L
1.29
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.71
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Puebla | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Puebla
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Santos Laguna
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Santos Laguna |
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | +3 | 25 |
| 13 |
Puebla |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Puebla face Santos Laguna in Liga MX. Puebla have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 14 (0.8 points per game). Santos Laguna have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Puebla, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Santos Laguna. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc as part of the Liga MX.
