Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Durango
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Francisco Zarco
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.8 - 2.39
Win probability
Home
4%
Draw
10%
Away
86%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Draw/Away
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Durango v Leones Negros UDG pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Durango wins
0
Draws
0
Leones Negros UDG wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
11%
Attack
77%
44%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
86%
Match Preview & Analysis
Durango face Leones Negros UDG in Liga de Expansión MX. Durango have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Leones Negros UDG have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
Leones Negros UDG's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 86% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Leones Negros UDG to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 4% win probability for Durango, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 86% probability for Leones Negros UDG. Our top recommended betting pick is Leones Negros UDG Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Zarco as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
