Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
CDS Tampico Madero
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Tamaulipas
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.01 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
13%
Draw
29%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Draw/Away
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CDS Tampico Madero wins
0
Draws
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
50%
20%
Attack
25%
53%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
13%
Win probability
58%
Home and away record
CDS Tampico Madero
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| CDS Tampico Madero | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Both teams scored | 0/4 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 80% 4/5 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
CDS Tampico Madero
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
CDS Tampico Madero |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
CDS Tampico Madero face Alebrijes de Oaxaca in Liga de Expansión MX. CDS Tampico Madero have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Alebrijes de Oaxaca to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 13% win probability for CDS Tampico Madero, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Our top recommended betting pick is Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Tamaulipas as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
