Major League Soccer · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
San Jose Earthquakes
Home
1-5
Full time
PayPal Park
Minnesota United FC
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
22%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
66%
1.42
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Jose Earthquakes wins
0
Draws
0
Minnesota United FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
40%
13%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
San Jose Earthquakes
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Minnesota United FC
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| San Jose Earthquakes | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 6/8 75% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
San Jose Earthquakes
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Minnesota United FC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 52 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes face Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer. San Jose Earthquakes have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game). Minnesota United FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
Minnesota United FC's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Minnesota United FC to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for San Jose Earthquakes, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Minnesota United FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Minnesota United FC Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 02:30 (East Africa Time) at PayPal Park as part of the Major League Soccer.
