USL Championship · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Sacramento Republic
Home
2-2
Full time
Heart Health Park
Phoenix Rising
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
23%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sacramento Republic wins
0
Draws
0
Phoenix Rising wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
53%
86%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sac Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +9 | 31 |
| 11 | Pho Phoenix Rising | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sacramento Republic face Phoenix Rising in USL Championship. Sacramento Republic have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (1.6 points per game). Phoenix Rising have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing Sacramento Republic, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sacramento Republic to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Sacramento Republic, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Phoenix Rising. Our top recommended betting pick is Sacramento Republic Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 03:00 (East Africa Time) at Heart Health Park as part of the USL Championship.
