Segunda Liga · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Chaves
Home
2-2
Full time
Estadio Municipal de Chaves
AVS
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
17%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Chaves wins
0
Draws
0
AVS wins
11 Jul 2026
AVS
0 - 1
Chaves
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
53%
33%
Attack
46%
26%
Defence
80%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
70%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Chaves
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
AVS
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Chaves | AVS | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Chaves
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
AVS
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Chaves face AVS in Segunda Liga. Chaves have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). AVS have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Chaves won 1, AVS won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing Chaves, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chaves to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Chaves, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for AVS. Our top recommended betting pick is Chaves Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves as part of the Segunda Liga.
