Liga 3 · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Paredes
Home
1-2
Full time
Municipal das Laranjeiras
Leça
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.02
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
92%
1.02
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Paredes wins
0
Draws
0
Leça wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
16%
80%
Attack
8%
53%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Paredes
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Leça
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Paredes | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 3/4 75% |
At half time
Paredes
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Leça
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Paredes face Leça in Liga 3. Paredes have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). Leça have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 7 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 92% probability backing Paredes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Paredes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Paredes, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Leça. Our top recommended betting pick is Paredes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras as part of the Liga 3.
