Veikkausliiga · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
KuPS
Home
2-4
Full time
Vare Areena
Mariehamn
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
KuPS wins
0
Draws
0
Mariehamn wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
KuPS
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Mariehamn
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| KuPS | Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/9 22% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 6/9 67% |
At half time
KuPS
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Mariehamn
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
0%
Behind
78%
Match Preview & Analysis
KuPS face Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga. KuPS have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Mariehamn have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
With a 93% probability backing KuPS, home advantage and superior chance creation make KuPS to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for KuPS, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Mariehamn. Our top recommended betting pick is KuPS Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Vare Areena as part of the Veikkausliiga.
