Esiliiga A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Nõmme Kalju II
Home
2-4
Full time
Hiiu Stadium
Tartu Welco
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.84 - 2.33
Win probability
Home
6%
Draw
9%
Away
83%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Draw/Away
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nõmme Kalju II wins
0
Draws
0
Tartu Welco wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
60%
6%
Attack
95%
5%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
6%
Win probability
83%
Home and away record
Nõmme Kalju II
last 5 at home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
0.60
scored a game
3.20
conceded a game
Tartu Welco
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
3.80
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Nõmme Kalju II | Tartu Welco | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 0% 0/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 56% 5/9 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Nõmme Kalju II
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
Tartu Welco
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
0%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nõmme Kalju II face Tartu Welco in Esiliiga A. Nõmme Kalju II have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 17 (0 points per game). Tartu Welco have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
Tartu Welco's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 83% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Tartu Welco to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 6% win probability for Nõmme Kalju II, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 83% probability for Tartu Welco. Our top recommended betting pick is Tartu Welco Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium as part of the Esiliiga A.
