Eredivisie · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
PSV Eindhoven
Home
5-1
Full time
Philips Stadion
Groningen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
11%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
84%
1.12
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
84%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.32
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
PSV Eindhoven wins
0
Draws
0
Groningen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
PSV Eindhoven
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
2.67
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Groningen
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| PSV Eindhoven | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 100% 7/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
PSV Eindhoven
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Groningen
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven |
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +25 | 26 |
| 9 |
Groningen |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
PSV Eindhoven face Groningen in Eredivisie. PSV Eindhoven have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Groningen have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 84% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
With a 81% probability backing PSV Eindhoven, home advantage and superior chance creation make PSV Eindhoven to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for PSV Eindhoven, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Groningen. Our top recommended betting pick is PSV Eindhoven Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.32 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at Philips Stadion as part of the Eredivisie.
