Ligi kuu Bara · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Mbeya City
Home
2-1
Full time
Sokoine Stadium
Mashujaa
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
17%
Over 2.5
24%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mbeya City wins
0
Draws
0
Mashujaa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
26%
93%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Mbeya City
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Mashujaa
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Mbeya City | Mashujaa | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Both teams scored | 0/5 0% |
| 71% 5/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Mbeya City
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Mashujaa
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mbeya City face Mashujaa in Ligi kuu Bara. Mbeya City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (1.6 points per game). Mashujaa have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 17% and Both Teams to Score at 24%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Mbeya City, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Mashujaa. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 24%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Sokoine Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
