Super League · Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026
FC Lugano
Home
4-1
Full time
AIL Arena
FC ST. Gallen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FC Lugano wins
0
Draws
0
FC ST. Gallen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
20%
60%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
FC Lugano
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
FC ST. Gallen
last 8 away from home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FC Lugano | FC ST. Gallen | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
FC Lugano
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
FC ST. Gallen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano |
13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 34 |
| 4 |
FC ST. Gallen |
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FC Lugano face FC ST. Gallen in Super League. FC Lugano have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game). FC ST. Gallen have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing FC Lugano, home advantage and superior chance creation make FC Lugano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for FC Lugano, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for FC ST. Gallen. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Lugano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at AIL Arena as part of the Super League.
