Primeira Liga · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Guimaraes
Home
1-0
Full time
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Nacional
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guimaraes wins
0
Draws
0
Nacional wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
60%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nac Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Gui Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Guimaraes face Nacional in Primeira Liga. Guimaraes have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Nacional have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Guimaraes, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Nacional. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques as part of the Primeira Liga.
