A Lyga · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Suduva Marijampole
Home
2-0
Full time
Marijampole Football Arena
Panevėžys
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.02
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
92%
1.02
Double Chance
Home/Draw
98%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Suduva Marijampole wins
0
Draws
0
Panevėžys wins
29 Jun 2026
Panevėžys
1 - 2
Suduva Marijampole
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
40%
80%
Attack
33%
86%
Defence
73%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Suduva Marijampole
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Panevėžys
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Suduva Marijampole | Panevėžys | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/9 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Suduva Marijampole
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Panevėžys
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
22%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Suduva Marijampole face Panevėžys in A Lyga. Suduva Marijampole have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Panevėžys have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Suduva Marijampole won 1, Panevėžys won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 25%.
With a 92% probability backing Suduva Marijampole, home advantage and superior chance creation make Suduva Marijampole to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Suduva Marijampole, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Panevėžys. Our top recommended betting pick is Suduva Marijampole Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 25%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 15:45 (East Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena as part of the A Lyga.
