Erovnuli Liga · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
Saburtalo
Home
1-2
Full time
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Dinamo Tbilisi
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
16%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
90%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Saburtalo wins
0
Draws
0
Dinamo Tbilisi wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
73%
46%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Saburtalo
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Dinamo Tbilisi
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Saburtalo | Dinamo Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Saburtalo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Dinamo Tbilisi
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Saburtalo face Dinamo Tbilisi in Erovnuli Liga. Saburtalo have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Dinamo Tbilisi have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 90% and Both Teams to Score at 85%.
With a 60% probability backing Saburtalo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Saburtalo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Saburtalo, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Dinamo Tbilisi. Our top recommended betting pick is Saburtalo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 85% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium as part of the Erovnuli Liga.
