Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
DFB Pokal · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
1-5
Full time
Merkur Spiel-Arena
SC Freiburg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
7%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
0
Draws
0
SC Freiburg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
95%
33%
Attack
91%
53%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
84%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Fortuna Düsseldorf
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
SC Freiburg
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Fortuna Düsseldorf
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
13%
Behind
38%
SC Freiburg
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fortuna Düsseldorf face SC Freiburg in DFB Pokal. Fortuna Düsseldorf have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). SC Freiburg have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 11 and conceding 2 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 84% probability backing Fortuna Düsseldorf, home advantage and superior chance creation make Fortuna Düsseldorf to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for SC Freiburg. Our top recommended betting pick is Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Merkur Spiel-Arena as part of the DFB Pokal.
