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DFB Pokal · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Rot-Weiß Essen
Home
2-0
Full time
Stadion Essen
FC St. Pauli
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
6%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
87%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rot-Weiß Essen wins
0
Draws
0
FC St. Pauli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
26%
Attack
53%
13%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Rot-Weiß Essen
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
FC St. Pauli
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Rot-Weiß Essen | FC St. Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 7/7 100% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Rot-Weiß Essen
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
FC St. Pauli
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Rot-Weiß Essen face FC St. Pauli in DFB Pokal. Rot-Weiß Essen have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game). FC St. Pauli have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 87% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing Rot-Weiß Essen, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rot-Weiß Essen to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Rot-Weiß Essen, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for FC St. Pauli. Our top recommended betting pick is Rot-Weiß Essen Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Essen as part of the DFB Pokal.
