Serie A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Venezia
Home
0-2
Full time
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Lecce
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
9%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
90%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Venezia wins
0
Draws
0
Lecce wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
95%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
79%
Win probability
8%
Team news
Venezia
- M. Šverko · Hip Injury
- A. Adorante · Hernia
- B. Franjic · Shoulder Injury
- M. Sverko · Hip Injury
- T. Correia · Thigh Injury
- A. Bella-Kotchap · Thigh Injury
- G. Busio · Thigh Injury
- P. Mazzocchi · Calf Injury
Lecce
- M. Berisha · Thigh Injury
- W. Geubbels · Muscle Injury
- I. Ilic · Thigh Injury
- L. Coulibaly · Thigh Injury
- S. Pierotti · Ankle Injury
- K. Gaspar · Red Card
- N. Stulic · Muscle Injury
- O. Gandelman · Inactive
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Venezia
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Lecce
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Venezia | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 100% 6/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Venezia
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Lecce
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Venezia face Lecce in Serie A. Venezia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 and conceding 8 (2 points per game). Lecce have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 90% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
With a 79% probability backing Venezia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Venezia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Venezia, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Lecce. Our top recommended betting pick is Venezia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo as part of the Serie A.
