Segunda División · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Sporting Gijon
Home
1-0
Full time
El Molinón
Burgos
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.04 - 2.06
Win probability
Home
14%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting Gijon wins
0
Draws
0
Burgos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
58%
20%
Attack
41%
6%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
14%
Win probability
71%
Home and away record
Sporting Gijon
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Burgos
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Sporting Gijon | Burgos | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Sporting Gijon
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Burgos
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Burgos |
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 |
Sporting Gijon |
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting Gijon face Burgos in Segunda División. Sporting Gijon have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game). Burgos have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
Burgos's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 71% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Burgos to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 14% win probability for Sporting Gijon, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 71% probability for Burgos. Our top recommended betting pick is Burgos Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at El Molinón as part of the Segunda División.
