Serie A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Atalanta
Home
2-1
Full time
New Balance Arena
Sassuolo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
23%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atalanta wins
0
Draws
0
Sassuolo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
46%
41%
Attack
66%
83%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Atalanta
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Sassuolo
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Atalanta | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 75% 3/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Atalanta
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Sassuolo
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Atalanta face Sassuolo in Serie A. Atalanta have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.75 points per game). Sassuolo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Atalanta, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atalanta to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Atalanta, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Sassuolo. Our top recommended betting pick is Atalanta Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at New Balance Arena as part of the Serie A.
