Serie A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Vitoria
Home
0-2
Full time
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Bahia
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Vitoria v Bahia pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vitoria wins
0
Draws
0
Bahia wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Vitoria
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Bahia
last 4 away from home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Vitoria | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/8 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 63% 5/8 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Vitoria
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Bahia
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitoria face Bahia in Serie A. Vitoria have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Bahia have won 0, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Vitoria, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Bahia. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Manoel Barradas as part of the Serie A.
