Serie B · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Ponte Preta
Home
0-2
Full time
Moisés Lucarelli
Avai
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.17
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
15%
Away
76%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Draw/Away
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ponte Preta wins
0
Draws
0
Avai wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
40%
13%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
76%
Home and away record
Ponte Preta
last 5 at home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Avai
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ponte Preta | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Ponte Preta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Avai
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 |
Avai |
37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 40 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ponte Preta face Avai in Serie B. Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.4 points per game). Avai have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Avai's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 76% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Avai to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Ponte Preta, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 76% probability for Avai. Our top recommended betting pick is Avai Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli as part of the Serie B.
