Serie B · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Ponte Preta
Home
0-2
Full time
Moisés Lucarelli
Avai
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.17
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
15%
Away
76%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Draw/Away
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ponte Preta wins
0
Draws
0
Avai wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
46%
13%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
76%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Ava Avai | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 29 |
| 20 | Pon Ponte Preta | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | -34 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ponte Preta face Avai in Serie B. Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game). Avai have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Avai's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 76% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Avai to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Ponte Preta, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 76% probability for Avai. Our top recommended betting pick is Avai Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli as part of the Serie B.
