Serie B · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
São Bernardo
Home
1-1
Full time
Estádio Primeiro de Maio
Nautico Recife
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
São Bernardo wins
0
Draws
0
Nautico Recife wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
São Bernardo
last 5 at home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Nautico Recife
last 4 away from home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| São Bernardo | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/9 0% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
São Bernardo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Nautico Recife
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
| 15 |
Nautico Recife |
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
São Bernardo face Nautico Recife in Serie B. São Bernardo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Nautico Recife have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing São Bernardo, home advantage and superior chance creation make São Bernardo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for São Bernardo, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Nautico Recife. Our top recommended betting pick is São Bernardo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio as part of the Serie B.
