Segunda División · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Tenerife
Home
1-0
Full time
Heliodoro Rodríguez López
Almeria
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
22%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tenerife wins
0
Draws
0
Almeria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
75%
93%
Attack
75%
66%
Defence
91%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
Tenerife
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Almeria
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Tenerife | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 0/4 0% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Tenerife
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
Almeria
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tenerife face Almeria in Segunda División. Tenerife have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game). Almeria have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 1 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Almeria's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Almeria to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Tenerife, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Almeria. Our top recommended betting pick is Almeria Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Heliodoro Rodríguez López as part of the Segunda División.
