Torneo Federal A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
San Martin Formosa
Home
2-1
Full time
17 De Octubre
9 de Julio Rafaela
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.31 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
67%
Draw
15%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Martin Formosa wins
0
Draws
0
9 de Julio Rafaela wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
33%
66%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
67%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
San Martin Formosa
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
1.60
scored a game
0.20
conceded a game
9 de Julio Rafaela
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| San Martin Formosa | 9 de Julio Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
San Martin Formosa
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
22%
Behind
11%
9 de Julio Rafaela
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
13%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
San Martin Formosa face 9 de Julio Rafaela in Torneo Federal A. San Martin Formosa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). 9 de Julio Rafaela have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
With a 67% probability backing San Martin Formosa, home advantage and superior chance creation make San Martin Formosa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 67% win probability for San Martin Formosa, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for 9 de Julio Rafaela. Our top recommended betting pick is San Martin Formosa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre as part of the Torneo Federal A.
