Torneo Federal A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Guillermo Brown
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Raul Conti
Santamarina
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
32%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.79
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Guillermo Brown wins
0
Draws
0
Santamarina wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
26%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Guillermo Brown
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Santamarina
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Guillermo Brown | Santamarina | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 11% 1/9 | Both teams scored | 1/7 14% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 67% 6/9 | Failed to score | 5/7 71% |
At half time
Guillermo Brown
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
11%
Behind
56%
Santamarina
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
71%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Guillermo Brown face Santamarina in Torneo Federal A. Guillermo Brown have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Santamarina have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
With a 48% probability backing Guillermo Brown, home advantage and superior chance creation make Guillermo Brown to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Guillermo Brown, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Santamarina. Our top recommended betting pick is Guillermo Brown Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.79 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Raul Conti as part of the Torneo Federal A.
