Primera División · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
FBC Melgar
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio de la UNSA
Alianza Lima
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
18%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FBC Melgar wins
0
Draws
0
Alianza Lima wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
46%
58%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
27%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FBC FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Ali Alianza Lima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FBC Melgar face Alianza Lima in Primera División. FBC Melgar have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game). Alianza Lima have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 79%.
With a 55% probability backing FBC Melgar, home advantage and superior chance creation make FBC Melgar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for FBC Melgar, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Alianza Lima. Our top recommended betting pick is FBC Melgar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 79% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de la UNSA as part of the Primera División.
