Serie A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Chapecoense-sc
Home
1-0
Full time
Arena Condá
Sao Paulo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
23%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chapecoense-sc wins
0
Draws
0
Sao Paulo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Chapecoense-sc
last 3 at home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Sao Paulo
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Chapecoense-sc | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 6/6 100% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 57% 4/7 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Chapecoense-sc
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
14%
Behind
86%
Sao Paulo
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
83%
Level
17%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Sao Paulo |
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc |
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chapecoense-sc face Sao Paulo in Serie A. Chapecoense-sc have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Sao Paulo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing Chapecoense-sc, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chapecoense-sc to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Chapecoense-sc, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Sao Paulo. Our top recommended betting pick is Chapecoense-sc Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena Condá as part of the Serie A.
