Serie A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Chapecoense-sc
Home
1-0
Full time
Arena Condá
Sao Paulo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
23%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chapecoense-sc wins
0
Draws
0
Sao Paulo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
41%
26%
Attack
50%
40%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
16%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 27 |
| 20 | Cha Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -22 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chapecoense-sc face Sao Paulo in Serie A. Chapecoense-sc have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game). Sao Paulo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing Chapecoense-sc, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chapecoense-sc to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Chapecoense-sc, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Sao Paulo. Our top recommended betting pick is Chapecoense-sc Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena Condá as part of the Serie A.
