Serie C · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Maranhão
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
AO Itabaiana
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
32%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
27%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.78
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Maranhão wins
0
Draws
0
AO Itabaiana wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Maranhão
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
AO Itabaiana
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Maranhão | AO Itabaiana | |
|---|---|---|
| 29% 2/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 1/6 17% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Maranhão
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
AO Itabaiana
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Maranhão face AO Itabaiana in Serie C. Maranhão have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). AO Itabaiana have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 27% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 46% probability backing Maranhão, home advantage and superior chance creation make Maranhão to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Maranhão, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for AO Itabaiana. Our top recommended betting pick is Maranhão Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.78 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie C.
