Serie A · Sunday, 23 Aug 2026
Coritiba
Home
2-1
Full time
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Corinthians
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
28%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Coritiba wins
0
Draws
0
Corinthians wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Coritiba
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Corinthians
last 5 away from home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
0.80
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Coritiba | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Coritiba
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Corinthians
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 |
Corinthians |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Coritiba face Corinthians in Serie A. Coritiba have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Corinthians have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 60% probability backing Coritiba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Coritiba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Coritiba, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Corinthians. Our top recommended betting pick is Coritiba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 23 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira as part of the Serie A.
