40%
Home Win
31%
Draw
29%
Away Win
1.24–1.00
Expected Score
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Both Teams Score
2.3
Avg Goals / Game
Probability Comparison
ACF Fiorentina
Win %
US Sassuolo Calcio
40%
Draw 31%
29%
Over 2.5
Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Both Score
BTTS
Clean Sheet
46%
54%
1-1
Correct Score Pick
+2.1%
Betting Edge
7/10
Value Rating
No head-to-head data available
Serie A — Standings
20 teams
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Internazionale Milano
|
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 | 87 |
| 2 |
SSC Napoli
|
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 76 |
| 3 |
AS Roma
|
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 | 73 |
| 4 |
Como 1907
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +36 | 71 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 | 70 |
| 6 |
Juventus FC
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +27 | 69 |
| 7 |
Atalanta BC
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 | 59 |
| 8 |
Bologna FC 1909
|
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | +3 | 56 |
| 9 |
SS Lazio
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 | 54 |
| 10 |
Udinese Calcio
|
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | -3 | 50 |
| 11 |
US Sassuolo Calcio
A
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 49 |
| 12 |
Torino FC
|
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -19 | 45 |
| 13 |
Parma Calcio 1913
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 | 45 |
| 14 |
Cagliari Calcio
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -13 | 43 |
| 15 |
ACF Fiorentina
H
|
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 |
Genoa CFC
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 | 41 |
| 17 |
US Lecce
|
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 |
US Cremonese
|
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 |
Hellas Verona FC
|
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | -36 | 21 |
| 20 |
AC Pisa 1909
|
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -45 | 18 |
Champions League
Relegation
Today's teams
Recent form will appear closer to kick-off.
Expert Match Insight
In-depth statistical breakdown
Evenly matched on paper — our Poisson + Dixon-Coles model edges toward 1X based on form and position.
Score Probability Matrix (Top 12)
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
Prediction Model Summary
Model
Statistical & form-based
Market
Double Chance
Our Pick
1X
Market Odds
1.48
Expected Score
1.24 – 1.00
Avg Goals/Game
2.25
Over 2.5 Prob
39%
BTTS Prob
46%
ACF Fiorentina
US Sassuolo Calcio