Esiliiga A · Monday, 24 Aug 2026
Tallinna Kalev
Home
1-3
Full time
Kadrioru Staadion
Maardu
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
15%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
1
Draws
0
Maardu wins
03 Jul 2026
Tallinna Kalev
3 - 3
Maardu
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
60%
95%
Attack
60%
86%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
68%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Tallinna Kalev
last 6 at home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Maardu
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tallinna Kalev | Maardu | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Tallinna Kalev
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Maardu
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tallinna Kalev face Maardu in Esiliiga A. Tallinna Kalev have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Maardu have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Tallinna Kalev won 0, Maardu won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With a 68% probability backing Tallinna Kalev, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tallinna Kalev to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Tallinna Kalev, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Maardu. Our top recommended betting pick is Tallinna Kalev Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 24 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion as part of the Esiliiga A.
