Esiliiga A · Monday, 24 Aug 2026
Tallinna Kalev
Home
1-3
Full time
Kadrioru Staadion
Maardu
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
15%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tallinna Kalev wins
0
Draws
0
Maardu wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
60%
95%
Attack
60%
86%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
16%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tal Tallinna Kalev | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 6 | Maa Maardu | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 32 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tallinna Kalev face Maardu in Esiliiga A. Tallinna Kalev have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Maardu have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With a 68% probability backing Tallinna Kalev, home advantage and superior chance creation make Tallinna Kalev to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Tallinna Kalev, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Maardu. Our top recommended betting pick is Tallinna Kalev Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 24 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion as part of the Esiliiga A.
