Serie B · Monday, 24 Aug 2026
Sport Recife
Home
3-0
Full time
Ilha do Retiro
America Mineiro
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 1.84
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
22%
Away
61%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Draw/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sport Recife wins
0
Draws
0
America Mineiro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
17%
Win probability
61%
Home and away record
Sport Recife
last 4 at home
1W
3D
0L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
America Mineiro
last 5 away from home
0W
0D
5L
0.00
points a game
0.40
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sport Recife | America Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Sport Recife
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
America Mineiro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Sport Recife |
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +8 | 55 |
| 19 |
America Mineiro |
37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | -28 | 29 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sport Recife face America Mineiro in Serie B. Sport Recife have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). America Mineiro have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
America Mineiro's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 61% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for America Mineiro to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Sport Recife, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 61% probability for America Mineiro. Our top recommended betting pick is America Mineiro Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 24 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Ilha do Retiro as part of the Serie B.
