Serie A · Monday, 24 Aug 2026
Botafogo
Home
2-3
Full time
Estádio Nilton Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Botafogo wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Paranaense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
53%
26%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Botafogo
last 4 at home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Atletico Paranaense
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Botafogo | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 3/9 33% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Botafogo
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
14%
Behind
29%
Atletico Paranaense
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 |
| 11 |
Botafogo |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Botafogo face Atletico Paranaense in Serie A. Botafogo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Atletico Paranaense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Botafogo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Botafogo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Botafogo, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Atletico Paranaense. Our top recommended betting pick is Botafogo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 24 Aug 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos as part of the Serie A.
