Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, 25 Aug 2026
Bury
Home
0-1
Full time
Gigg Lane
Lancaster City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
10%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Bury v Lancaster City pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bury wins
0
Draws
0
Lancaster City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
46%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
84%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Bury
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Lancaster City
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Bury | Lancaster City | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 4/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Bury
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
63%
Behind
13%
Lancaster City
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Bury |
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +13 | 26 |
| 14 |
Lancaster City |
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bury face Lancaster City in Non League Premier - Northern. Bury have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Lancaster City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 84% probability backing Bury, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bury to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Bury, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Lancaster City. Our top recommended betting pick is Bury Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 25 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Gigg Lane as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
