CONCACAF Central American Cup · Thursday, 27 Aug 2026
CD Marathon
Home
3-0
Full time
Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
Real Estelí
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
20%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CD Marathon wins
0
Draws
0
Real Estelí wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
60%
40%
Attack
60%
80%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
CD Marathon
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Real Estelí
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| CD Marathon | Real Estelí | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
CD Marathon
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
Real Estelí
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
CD Marathon face Real Estelí in CONCACAF Central American Cup. CD Marathon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Real Estelí have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 20% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for CD Marathon, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Real Estelí. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 27 Aug 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal as part of the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
