Ligi kuu Bara · Thursday, 27 Aug 2026
Simba
Home
1-0
Full time
Isamuhyo Stadium
Coastal Union
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.07
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.81 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
88%
Draw
9%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
88%
1.07
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Simba wins
0
Draws
0
Coastal Union wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
88%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Simba
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Coastal Union
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Simba | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 57% 4/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Simba
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
71%
Level
29%
Behind
0%
Coastal Union
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Simba face Coastal Union in Ligi kuu Bara. Simba have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (3 points per game). Coastal Union have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 31%.
With a 88% probability backing Simba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Simba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 88% win probability for Simba, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Coastal Union. Our top recommended betting pick is Simba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 31%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 27 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Isamuhyo Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
